📩 NBA SPREAD PARLAY: 02.12.25

PARLAY PREDICTION
DOC’S BREAKDOWN 🛸

It's time to dial up a three-legger in the association. We’re talking about prime-time matchups, some juicy lines, and a parlay that’s got WINNER written all over it. Let’s get into it!

🏀 Game 1: Warriors -6.5 vs. Mavericks +6.5

The Warriors have been playing 50-50 ball on the road. But against a Dallas squad that’s just traded Luka for AD (who won’t be playing tonight), this is Golden State’s game to control. Expect them to push the pace, knock down shots, and cover the number.

Warriors -6.5, book it.

🏀 Game 2: Pistons -6 vs. Bulls +6.5

Listen, nobody loves backing Detroit—and for good reason.

But this? This is one of those times when Jalen Green can and will ball out. Chicago has been banged up and inconsistent, and when the Pistons are hitting their shots, they’ve shown they can hang with just about anyone.

It won’t be pretty, but Detroit takes care of business and covers -6.

🏀 Game 3: Spurs +8.5 vs. Celtics -8.5

Victor Wembanyama vs. the NBA’s best.

Let’s be real, Boston is a buzzsaw, but this line feels a little too big. San Antonio can push the tempo, and Wemby can disrupt shots and keep this game closer than expected. Jrue is out and Jaylen is banged up.

The Celtics should win, but covering 8.5? That’s not a guarantee.

Side note: Spurs are 27-22 against the spread and Celtics are 22-28 against the spread.

Give me the Spurs +8.5 to keep it respectable.

The Parlay:

✅ Warriors -6.5
✅ Pistons -6
✅ Spurs +8.5

FREE PLAY
SOUTHERN MISS vs ARKANSAS STATE

I’m backing Arkansas State to handle business at home against Southern Miss.

The Red Wolves come into this one looking to snap a two-game skid, and this is the perfect get-right spot against a Southern Miss squad that has struggled in this matchup.

Arkansas State holds the better overall record and has been tested by a tougher schedule compared to the Golden Eagles. While Southern Miss has managed to cover three straight games, they’ve also dropped back-to-back outright, and that ATS streak looks primed to come to an end.

These teams met back in January, with Arkansas State winning by 13 points on the road, and I don’t see Southern Miss faring any better in enemy territory.

Expect Arkansas State to control the tempo, impose their will, and pull away late for a dominant win. Lay the points with the Red Wolves.

The Play: Arkansas State -14